BARRETTS' MAY SALE--DO FASTEST WORKOUTS SPELL SUCCESS?

[CA Michael]

Two months ago the group I'm involved with compiled the fastest workouts from each of Barretts' March 2-y-o in training previews since 1999 then correlated them with each horse's career earnings. That review was so widely accepted we decided to conduct a similar analysis for the Barretts' May 2-y-o Sale.

Time...Name (Sire)...Ylng price...Barretts 2yo price...Earnings....Sts/Wns

1999
1 FURLONG

10.01...MISS PEMBROKE, f. (Pembroke) 11,000 48,000 0 unr
10.03...THREEDEED, f. (Shadeed) 12,000 175,000 80,000 14-2
10.17...CINN CITY, f. (Carson City) 45,000 0 1-0
10.18...EVIL HISS, c. (West by West) 55,000 125,000 13,000 13-3
10.19...BIGGER PRIZE, f. (Prized) 12,500 50,000 2,000 15-3
10.19...SAN ANDREAS, f. (Meadowlake) 38,000 0 unr
10.23...IN REGAL STYLE, f. (Regal & Royal)1,200 41,000 16,000 7-0
10.23...SHESASURETHING, f. (P Gamble) 40,000 57,000 7-3
10.23...POWEROFAWOMAN, f. (The P.M.) 11,000 90,000 3,600 5-1
10.24...HOLY GHOST, f (Holy Bull) 25,000 82,000 15,000 4-1

2 FURLONGS
21.37...FLAMING CLOUD, f. (Out of Place) 30,000 120,000 41,000 60-5
21.50...CONQUISTAS JESSICA, f.(Boundry)52,000 (97,000) 15,000 11-0
21.71...REALLY A FIBBER, f. (For Really) 50,000 88,000 13-3
21.73...CALL TO HONOR, c. (Caller I. D.) 20,000 62,000 70,000 50-6
21.77...WITHOUT DOUBT, c. (Devil H Due)11,000 40,000 8,000 18-1
21.78...KID COURAGEOUS, c. (OutofPlace)34,000 (70,000) 74,000 69-11
22.06...GREENBAYPACKER, c.(Medwlke) 165,000 37,000 125,000 25-3
22.11...DEMIDOLL, f. (Demidoff) 10,000 (33,000) 112,000 26-7
22.22...FRENCH MINISTER, c. (Fr Deputy) 85,000 83,000 10-2
22.45...KALOOKAN STAR. c. (Bertrando) 47,000 65,000 64,000 31-3

3 FURLONGS
34.92...ED'S IN EXCESS, f. (In Excess) 30,000 30,000 12-1
35.38...FAIRLY'S DANCER, g. (Fairly Affirmed) 15,000 66,000 57-8

2000
1 FURLONG
9.9.......LAZER STORM, f. (Storm Boot) 27,000 100,000 97,000 23-3
9.9.......SO URGENT, c.(Twilight Agenda) 280,000 242,000 28-6
9.9.......CAMINO KING, c. (Kingmambo) 220,000 0 unr
10.0.....J P MURPHY, c. (Ghazi) 4,000 5,000 0 unr
10.1.....AMOROUS GEORGE, c.(Boones Ml) 13,000 20,000 67,000 8-2
10.1.....FUSE QUICK, c. (Fort Chaffee) 8,000 33,000 153,000 44-11
10.2.....TEMPLAR KNIGHT, g. (Av of Flags) 18,000 10,000 114,000 37-2
10.2.....AUGMENTER, c. (High Brite) 13,000 30,000 40,000 15-2
10.2.....IFALFERU, .f. (Falstaff) 3,500 (12,000) 91,000 14-4
10.2.....GLORY QUEEN, f.(Honour & Glory) 27,000 30,000 35,000 23-3

10.2.....BIG BIG CASINO, c. (Pioneering) 1,800 100,000 25,000 4-1
10.2.....SHESASTARGAZER, f. (Gldd Time)25,000 15,000 48,000 9-2
10.2.....WAY SHARP, f. (Odyle) 60,000 23,000 19-6
10.2.....NUMERO UNO TICKET, c.(Dep Tkt) 9,000 17,000 3,500 18-1
10.2.....VICTOR VICTORIOUS, c (S Kalem)10,000 72,000 19,000 27-3
10.2.....HOLLYWOOD DIVA, f. (De Niro) 3,000 60,000 13,000 12-3
10.3.....MO MON.c. (Maria's Mon) 145,000 240,000 198,000 21-2
10.3.....BRILLIANT BLUFF, c. (Pine Bluff) 40,000 62,000 69,000 34-4
10.3.....MIDNIGHT FANDANGO, f. (Waquoit)4,000 50,000 60,000 4-1
10.3.....BELLA DRIVE, f., (Silver Buck) 50,000 50,000 9-1

2 FURLONGS
21.1.....CARSON CITY RED, f. (L Carson) 65,000 150,000 13-5
21.2.....NEXT LEVEL, f. (Miner's Mark) 15,000 (70,000) 119,000 19-3
21.2.....COLOR ME SPECIAL, f. (Rv Specl) 2,000 44,000 225,000 33-6
21.3.....SLEEPY RUBI, c. (Rubiano) 45,000 80,000 15,000 1-1
21.4.....REALLY A LUSH, f. (For Really) 20,000 85,000 27-2
21.4.....WHITE ZIN, f. (Lit de Justice) 17,000 (45,000) 2,900 5-0
21.5.....MY TAYLOR RAE. f. (Hennessy) 60,000 60,000 1,300 5-0
21.5.....WILD EXCESS, c. (Wild Again) 7,000 (33,000) 7,000 14-1
21.6.....VALLEY RICHES, c.(Rizzi) 7,000 20,000 36,000 19-3
21.7.....SWIFT TERMS, c. (Private Terms) 5,500 30,000 55,000 38-6
21.7.....PRECIOSA, f. (Level Sands) 77,000 80,000 20-4
21.8.....NON STOP, b.g. (Flying Continental) 22,000 14,000 13-2
21.9.....THIRTYTWO BLACK, f (Mjr Impact) 7,500 30,000 300 9-0
21.9.....POLISH CARGO, c. (Pol Numbers) 27,000 52,000 22,000 17-2
22.0.....MAUI LIGHTS, f. (Aloha Prospector) 65,000 0 unr
22.0.....A REAL KNOCKOUT, f (Two Punch)32,000 80,000 52,000 30-7
22.1.....SPUNKY GAL, f. (Runaway Groom) 7,000 50,000 161,000 8-4
22.3.....SHEET LIGHTNING. c. (Capote) 75,000 31,000 26-3
22.4.....PROWL, c. (Ide) 45,000 0 unr
22.4.....RIGHT MOVES, g. (All Gone) 40,000 (10,000) 34,000 35-1
22.8.....TRICK N DARE, c. (Dare and Go) 27,000 10,000 14,000 36-2

2001
1 FURLONG
9.9.......GERI MCGUIRE, c. (Geri) 215,000 5,000 19-1
9.9.......SASIE CASSIE HUSHI, f (Lit d J) 20,000 43,000 10,000 4-1
10.1.....HARMONY PRINCE, c. (Dist Cat) 25,000 75,000 20,000 1-1
10.1.....MENACING DENNIS, c. (Star de Naskra) 100,000 265,000 15-4
10.2.....SOMETHING GORGEOUS, f. (Whtny Tower 37,000 300 3-0
10.2.....MISS BANK NIGHT, f. (Dept Ticket) 6,000 19,500 15,000 7-1
10.2.....JUST MISSED, c. (Silver Deputy) 230,000 (60,000) 38,000 5-2
10.2.....DISTINCTIVE TALE, f. (Distinctive Cat) 22,000 6,300 2-0
10.2.....YET ANOTHERNATALIE, f (S Boot) 16,000 40,000 177,000 17-4
10.3.....LUNATIC FRINGE, f. (Storm Boot) 45,000 (33,000) 23,000 15-2
10.3.....MISCHIEF IN MOTION, f. (Bertrando)9,000 (30,000) 0 1-0
10.3.....CAPTURAL, f. (Bertrando) 30,000 135,000 6,700 1-0
10.3.....NATURAL BORN STAR, f. (Marias Mon) 120,000 29,000 5-1

2 FURLONGS
21.0.....DEVIL YOU SAY, c. (Devil His Due) 8,000 80,000 25,000 20-2
21.5.....COMES THE STORM, f. (Storm Boot) (50,000) 12,000 13-1
21.6.....LITERARY JUSTICE, c. (Lit de J) 32,000 27,000 19,000 6-2
21.6.....HANDSOME HENRY, c. (S Kalem) 26,000 19,000 27-2
21.7.....HIGH HUMIDITY, f. (Petionville) (17,000) 195,000 35-7
21.7.....STARGLOW, f. (Ide) 11,000 42,000 45,000 40-6
21.7.....PUBLICATION, c. (Petionville) 29,000 500,000 20-6
21.7.....WIDOW BLACK, f. (Iam the Iceman) 23,000 83,000 11-3
21.9.....STOKIN COAL, c. (Notebook) 35,000 170,000 40,000 13-4

2002
1 FURLONG
10.1.....FURIOUS CAT, c. (Tabasco Cat) 220,000 37,000 4-1
10.2.....BUTTERTART, f. (High Brite) 41,000 135,000 24-4
10.2.....TOUCH SILK, f. (Touch Gold) 330,000 32,000 5-1
10.2.....GLANCE WINK SMILE, f (Announce) 130,000 27,000 13-2
10.2.....RESTIVE, c. (In Excess (IRE)) 75,000 1,300 13-0
10.3.....RED APACHE, c., (End Sweep) 100,000 (160,000) 95,000 8-2
10.3.....EL GRANDE ELOPER, c (Helmsman) 28,000 6,000 17-0
10.3.....SHADOW OF ILLINOIS, g (Ill Storm) 22,000 65,000 290,000 25-5
10.3.....CRYPTO 'N CRUISE, f., (Cryptoclr) 11,500 25,000 31,000 17-3
10.3.....LAST KISS, f. (Slew's Royalty) 17,000 74,000 6-1
10.3.....MALIBU MOMMA, f. (West Fame) 6,500 32,000 8,000 2-1
10.3.....DUTCHESS EBEN, f. (Cherokee Run) 65,000 49,000 16-3
10.3.....BETTOR N BETTOR, f. (Slew's Royalty) 37,000 4,200 2-1
10.3.....DANCES ON CLOUDS, f. (Flying Continental) 30,000 50,000 28-4
10.3.....LENIENTLY, f. (Langfuhr) 14,000 (135,000) 73,000 10-2
10.3.....WAY BRITE, f. (High Brite) 27,000 67,000 32-9
10.4.....CLEANING HOUSE, c. (End Sweep) 80,000 125,000 36-8
10.4.....ANGEL ON TRACK, f. (High Brite) 35,000 30,000 18-1
10.4.....MARS HILL, c. (Whitney Tower) 3,500 45,000 0 unr
10.4.....MONDAY THRU FRIDAY, c. (Souvenir Copy) 150,000 3,000 14-0
10.4.....POPCORN MIKE, f. (Lord Carson) 10,000 20,000 1,200 3-0

2 FURLONGS

21.2.....ZAYED, c. (In Excess (IRE)) 70,000 175,000 24-4
21.2.....CASE OF WINE, c. (Gold Case) 15,000 75,000 500 4-0
21.5.....DON CARLOS, c. (Souvenir Copy) 35,000 0 unr
21.5.....SAINT BUDDY, c. (Saint Ballado) 240,000 330,000 350,000 26-4
21.5.....MADRINGA, f. (Snowbound) 40,000 145,000 23-3
21.6.....JACIRO, f., (Souvenir Copy) 100,000 170,000 23-4
21.6.....VICTORY AVENUE, c. (Avenue of Flags) 170,000 4,000 6-0
21.6.....MARKOFCLASS, f. (Benchmark) 5,500 25,000 33,000 7-2
21.7.....LOUP DE LOUP, c. (Loup Sauvage) 3,000 (33,000) 40,000 21-1
21.8.....GOODBYE GAMBLER, f. (Aloha Pros) 37,000 54,000 7-1
21.8.....GO YOYO, f. (Cryptoclearance) 40,000 28,000 16-3
21.9.....TO THE VICTOR, g. (Ave of Flags) 18,500 21,000 29,000 36-4
21.9.....VEGAS SHOWGIRL, (Announce) 3,500 20,000 1,000 8-0
22.0.....HESHOOTSHESCORES, c(Cl Trck) 12,000 40,000 0 2-0
22.2.....STAR TO STAR, f. (Bay Street Star) 4,200 32,000 22-3
22.2.....LAGUNATIC, f. (Smokester) 40,000 15,000 14-1
22.2.....OUR BOBBY V, c. (Majesterian) 9,000 55,000 155,000 28-3
22.2.....BERTRANDO'S DARE, f. (Bertrando) 50,000 31,000 9-2
22.3.....SKY'S SNOW, f. (Benchmark) 8,000 62,000 6-1

2003
1 FURLONG
9.9.......ANA'S LADY BIRD, f. (Lord Carson) 155,000 77,000 8-2
10.0.....EVOLUTION, c. (Gilded Time) 70,000 355,000 45,000 5-1
10.0.....QUICK COVER, f. (Score Quick) 50,000 90,000 14-4
10.1.....MISS BLEUS CLUES, f. (Mr. Purple) 12,500 35,000 85,00 15-3
10.1.....SECRET DATE, f. (Sea of Secrets) 15,000 65,000 0 unr
10.1.....STORMTOREMEMBER, f. (Storm Creek) 38,000 9,000 10-2
10.1.....COWBOYCOMESTOTOWN, c (CC) 32,000 60,000 20,000 10-1
10.1.....IFLOOKSCOULDKILL, f. (Wild Escapade) 35,000 141,000 18-6
10.2.....CAT CARSON, f. (Carson City) 60,000 64,000 5-2
10.2.....STORMIN MOE, c. (Stormin Fever) 85,000 9,000 2-1
10.2.....DREAM MEETING, c (General Meeting) 170,000 0 unr
10.3.....CIVITA, f. (Touch Gold) 135,000 (80,000) 1,000 4-0
10.3.....SWISS TAMERLANE, c. (Swiss Ydl) 6,000 30,000 4,000 1-0
10.3.....ALWAYSWANTMORE, c. (Mt. Liv) 50,000 80,000 50,000 11-3
10.3.....MAGIC MIRROR, f. (Storm Boot) 43,000 (35,000) 1,400 3-0
10.3.....THIRTY FIVE BLACK, c. (Sir Cat) 15,000 35,000 2,200 1-0
10.3.....TRICKY ANNIE, f. (Not Tricky) 5,000 30,000 25,000 4-2
10.3.....REMEMBRANCES, f. (Cherokee Run) 120,000 86,000 14-2
10.3.....GOLLY MISS MOLLY, f. (In Excess) 8,000 0 unr
10.3.....RHINO CHASER, c. (Captain Bodgit) 19,000 35,000 88,000 27-3
10.3.....RED ROCK EAST, c. (Holy Bull) 115,000 0 unr

2 FURLONGS
21.2.....ULTRA CHIC, f. (Smokester) 170,000 11,000 14-0
21.4.....MAZELLA, f. (Mazel Trick) 38,000 55,000 260,000 34-4
21.5.....LYNN GODDESS, f. Boston Harbor) 110,000 80,000 10-2
21.5.....GENERAL EXPRESSION, f. (Gen Mtg) 80,000 53,000 11-2
21.5.....FAST SPLASH, f. (Dance Brightly) 7,000 42,000 67,000 14-3
21.6.....BYEAIRMAIL, f. (Family Calling) 22,000 26,000 23-4
21.6.....CHERRY SPRINGS, f (Silver Dep) 18,000 45,000 2,000 6-0
21.6.....WILD CARIBE, c. (Wild Zone) 27,000 30,000 42,000 24-2
21.6.....YEARLY REPORT, f. (General Meeting) 95,000 835,000 10-6
21.6.....UPPITY KITTY, f. (Tale of the Cat) 32,000 125,000 90,000 7-2
21.7.....AMERINDA, f. (Gentlemen (ARG) 16,000 135,000 0 2-0
21.8.....TELL ME JASON, c. (Diligence) 7,000 20,000 0 5-2
22.0.....JADELICIOUS, f. (Jade Hunter) (28,000) 6,300 9-1
22.1.....COOPERSTOWN, c. (Gentlemen) 10,000 85,000 10,000 17-2
22.1.....ALLURING SONG, f. (El Prado) 75,000 100,000 0 unr
22.2.....SWISS SKIER, f. (Swiss Yodeler) (19,000) 27,000 13-1
22.2.....SPRINGSTER, c. (Red) (10,000) 22,000 22-1
22.2.....GILLESPIE, c. (Gentlemen (ARG) 27,000 35,000 34,000 15-1
22.2.....KING OF THE COURT, c (Halory H) 5,000 18,000 42,000 11-4
22.2.....WILD PHARAOH, c. (Wild Zone) 10,000 27,000 20-6

3 FURLONGS
35.7.....GET RHYTHMICAL, g. (Rhythm) 10,000 (25,000) 0 unr
36.0.....NOWYER BARKIN, f. (Out of Place) 45,000 55,000 13,000 5-1
34.9.....RUHLAND, g. (Dove Hunt) 4,000 65,000 17,000 15-1

2004
1 FURLONG
10.0.....EXCESS DANGER, c. (In Excess) 30,000 70,000 10,000 3-1
10.0.....MR CHARLIE D, g. (In Excess) 60,000 0 1-0
10.0.....CALICO PRINCESS, f. (Dist Cat) 7,000 52,000 0 unr
10.1.....NO ONE LIKE ME, f. (Benchmark) 10,000 65,000 5,000 2-0
10.1.....SHADOWY WATERS, f. (Wild Again) 12,000 70,000 86,000 17-3
10.1.....KEEP ON BURNIN, f. (Gilded Time) 95,000(72,000) 0 unr
10.1.....STAR OF GOLD FEVER, f.(Gold Fever)8,000 47,000 24,000 3-1
10.1.....TAKIN ISSUE, c. (Twin Spires) 30,000 34,000 2-1
10.1.....VALID KRIS, f. (Valid Wager) 90,000 0 unr
10.2.....DISCRETE, .f. (Distinctive Cat) 4,300 37,000 25,000 9-1
10.2.....LADY RUTHIE. f. (Mr. Greeley) 185,000 4,500 4-0
10.2.....VODKA TONIC, g. (Trail CIty) 4,500 43,000 0 unr
10.2.....CHUMMIN, c. (Formal Gold) 52,000 110,000 72,000 7-1
10.2.....SHEILA'S DESTINY, f. (Island Whirl) 30,000 0 unr
10.2.....EXCESSING, f. (In Excess (IRE)) 62,000 0 unr
10.3.....LUNAR FLIGHT, f. (Flying Continental) 32,000 112,000 7-1
10.3.....CINCO FUEGOS, f. (Category Five) 12,000 0 unr
10.3.....WILD EXCUSES, f. (Wild Again) 60,000 120,000 0 unr
10.3.....GASIN THE TURBO, g (Bold Badgett) 22,000 32,000 56,000 16-3
10.3.....MISS BOBBIE QUICK, f. (Score Quick) 17,000 41,000 10-2
10.3.....LOST MEMO, f. (Benchmark) 4,200 45,000 0 1-0
10.3.....CAT CAT CAT, f. (Classic Cat) 55,000 0 unr
10.3.....LIPS LIKE SUGAR, f. (Mazel Trick) 20,000 55,00 0 32,000 17-5

2 FURLONGS
21.1.....IT'Z ALL MINE, f. (Belong to Me) 50,000 350,000 52,000 8-1
21.3.....IKNOWICANIKNOWICAN, f (Hi Yld) 90,000 70,000 15,000 1-1
21.3.....PRIMITIVE MAN c. (Outflanker) 21,000 140,000 6,000 3-0
21.5.....DIRECT DIAL, c. (Pioneering) 20,000 36,000 11-2
21.5.....TWICE AS FABULOUS, c (Fab Frolc) 3,000 105,000 0 3-0
21.5.....PAPER FLOWER, f. (Bertrando) 45,000 0 unr
21.5.....DO DA PRINCESS, f. (Scatmandu 20,000 50,000 83,000 12-3
21.7.....FROSTMARK, g. (Benchmark) 6,500 55,000 0 unr
21.7.....GOLDEN RELEAF, c (Spinning World)32,000 50,000 800 3-0
22.1.....PRECISE ACCUSATION, f. (Exploit) 75,000 0 unr

3 FURLONGS
33.5.....CRAFTY KID, c. (Crafty Prospector) 130,000 275,000 16,000 9-2

2005
1 FURLONG
10.0.....LAKE CASCADE, f. (Salt Lake) 19,000 90,000 0 unr
10.0.....BING, c. (Illinois Storm) 1,100 60,000 60,000 3-1
10.1.....HAVASU, f. (Sefapiano) 10,000 50,000 38,000 5-1
10.1.....BOLD AND WONDERFUL, f (Olymp) 10,000 38,000 0 unr
10.1.....QUALITY STUFF, f. (Elusive Quality) 60,000 43,000 6-1
10.1.....WORLD ASUNDER, c. (Siphon) 75,000 350,000 10,000 2-0
10.1.....CATONIGHT, c. (Katowice) 20,000 26,000 116,0009-4
10.1.....KITTY STREET, f. (Sir Cat) 100,000 0 unr
10.2.....SUCCEED OR BUST, c. (Miswaki) 52,000 55,000 6,000 2-0
10.2.....FIFTH AVENUE LASS, f. (Av of Flags)19,000 68,000 400 1-0
10.2.....DONERELLA, f. (Doneraile Court) 37,000 110,000 28,000 3-1
10.2.....TOP HER NOW, f. (Old Topper) 55,000 5,000 1-1
10.2.....KARLEE'S KITTEN, f. (Pioneering) 20,000 80,000 34,000 6-1
10.2.....INABUNDANCE, f. (In Excess (IRE)) 33,000 0 unr
10.2.....MIGHT BE HOOKED, c. (Mighty) 8,500 20,000 107,000 12-4
10.2.....POCO LOCO, c. (Tale of the Cat) 165,000 42,000 0
10.2.....BIG RED MOUNTAIN, c. (Afternoon Deelites 200,000 0 unr
10.3.....STRAVINSKY'S SONG, f. (Stravinsky) 5,000 13,000 2,000 1-0
10.3.....CRUSH N RUN, f. (Precise End) 6,000 24,000 3,000 2-0
10.3.....MY CIELO, f. (Capote) 45,000 150,000 3,500 7-0
10.3.....OUTLAW JONES, g., (Old Trieste) 70,000 110,000 15-2
10.3.....CHINA NOB, c. (Strategic Mission) 20,000 2,500 4-0

2 FURLONGS
21.0.....SASSY SARAH, f. (Lake Austin) 85,000 0 unr
21.1.....TEALS LULLABIE, f. (Sultry Song) 3,500 47,000 0 unr
21.2.....GOLDEN MIRAGE, f. (Golden Missile) (180,000) 0 unr
21.2.....SCEPTER REFLECTOR, f. (K of K) 27,000 38,000 15,000 9-1
21.2.....AWAY DOWN SOUTH, (Dixie Union) 80,000 220,000 25,000 11-1
21.3.....WICKED SIN, f. (Stormy Atlantic) 160,000 5,000 1-0
21.4.....FIVE O'CLOCK TODDY, f. (Five Star Day) 9,500 400 1-0
21.4.....MAMA LULA, f. (Fit to Fight) 60,000 25,000 11-1
21.4.....LIKE RUNNING WATER, f. (Langfuhr) 6,500 50,000 97,000 9-2
21.5.....ROSY LEA, f. (Swain) 9,000 40,000 36,000 3-1
21.5.....NO BETTER TIME, f. (Two Punch) 125,000 165,000 0 unr
21.3......FIGHTINTHECAT, c. (Tactical Cat) 75,000 32,000 36,000 7-4
21.3.....A LITTLE BIT SALTY, f. (Salt Lake) 25,000 (41,000) 0 unr
21.4.....STRAIGHT ROW, f. (Straight Man) 55,000 45,000 400 1-0
21.5.....DEEP POWDER, c. (Rhythm) 23,000 66,000 27,000 8-1
21.6.....SONNY JONES, c. (Cahill Road) 37,000 45,000 28,000 10-3
21.6.....CITY STORMER, c. (Carson City) 60,000 108,000 19-2
21.6.....CEE DAZZEL, c. (Cee's Tizzy) 21,000 50,000 22,000 3-1
21.7.....OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT, c. (Tiznow) 195,000 49,000 61-1
21.7.....MEGAN'S MIA, f. (Cat Thief) 45,000 75,000 16,000 3-1

3 FURLONGS
33.4.....STERLING ASSET, f. (Stephen Got Even) 160,000 11,000 3-1
33.8.....RHODINE'S KID, c. (Lexicon) 200,000 11,000 2-0
34.0.....TUG O'WAR, c. (Matty G.) 35,000 0 unr
35.9.....REDDER, c. (Red) 20,000 7,500 7-2

[CA Michael]

I guess the Ocala contingent are on vacation!

[summerhorse]

Man talk about a risky venture!

[louis finochio]

I have worked around Tb most all of my life, and over the years one will develop an eye for an exceptional Tb or sale topper.

The last 2 sales toppers at Barretts were selected by their conformation, intelligence and character, I dont have the deep pockets of Coolmore, so I will have to wait and see if those 2 toppers will have the heart and mordant to become one of the ones.

Great sport even if one does not have the $$ to play the game.

[INIT2WINIT]

Top sellers in 2 year old sales are based on fast works and who the sire is. That is about it. the sale was a flop, with over a hundred outs and tons of buybacks.

I know I heard the trainers and buyers 'say' they looked for a very balanced and mature individual, but the results showed fast works and sire were key!

Results http://www.barretts.com/sresults/rsmay07.htm

[Gallop58]

Wondering about a subset view of this study.... Ignoring the prices paid for the 2YO's (I know, you can't really, that's part of the point, etc...)
But regardless, (and I don't really expect anyone to dig these answers up, just doing some cheap hypothesizing...) did the "fastest" set of horses, race more often than a group at the mean work times and the "slow" ones? What's the % of 100K winners in the 3 groups (fast,medium,slow)? Is the % of unraced higher in the speedballs than the rest of the 2YO sale population, than the rest of the yearling sale population?, etc. What other factors could contribute to a speedball not making back their purchase price?
Don't get me wrong, I get the point that the data looks bad as an economic model for owners..... That much is clear.....Well I guess it was clear already and this puts some numbers to the proposition.

Nice work....

KH

[tbrace]

56% buy backs or withdrawn at Barrett's May. You have a four in ten chance of selling your horse.

This doesn't count 5,6,7 thousand dollar horses that won't make back their expenses.

Are owners getting the idea that this may not be the best place to buy a horse?

Most of the entrants I would guess have the equivalent of 5 to 10 two furlong races by the time the sale rolls around.

Not a good idea for the two year old body or mind.

[CA Michael]

tbrace: "Are owners getting the idea that this may not be the best place to buy a horse?"

Here, here, tbrace. Even with escalating sale prep techniques, yearling auctions still provide the biggest bang for a buck for most buyers. I'm not talking about Coolmore, the Sheikhs, and the other bazillionaires to whom price is no object, but for the rank and file stables looking for solid racehorses.

Imagine how much better off our industry might be if thousands of our better 2yo's weren't pushed into world record speed records by their 24th month? Imagine if 2yo Sales strictly enforced a "2 mile clip" policy? Imagine if 2yo racing didn't begin until August 1, or later?

Those are the lyrics; who's got the music?

[Des]

I guess it's better to buy after a maiden win instead of going to these sales. Lot of buyers are leaning that was, but as you do know these prices are usually a bit higher,

[zinn21]

I have never understood the high buyback rate. If you pinhook a yearling for $150,000 and buy him back for $225,000 what's the chance you'll find a buyer that will pay you more than what you bought him back for?

[tbrace]

Even B. Baffert once said, "If you want to hit the home run, you have to buy the young horse" (he was talking about yearlings.

This holds true for the triple and double, also.

And, they generally cost less than the 9 and 4 two year olds, many of whom never see the winners circle.

[jellac]

Along the lines of your question Michael, and comments by others, I came across the following article from the Thoroughbred Reveiw Stallion Watch website. You can find it under "Articles" - it's the most current offering there.

http://www.thoroughbredreview.com/Effec ... Market.htm

[Sysonby]

I think part of the reason a big chunk of the horses are withdrawn in a 2 year old sale is that racehorses aren't widgets and as you progress through the sales (weanling to yearling to juvenile) more and more is expected by the buyers until in the end, the horse needs to preview in a decent time, look good doing it and Xray OK which is a taller order than some folks realize going in. Lots of horses get hurt just trying to get to the preview and some more don't make it through without breaking to some degree. Some work in such a pedestrian fashion, they get no action before the sale so the consignor just withdraws trying to put together a private deal. (And some of those are lulus. I once saw a horse sell as a yearling in October for $3000. By April, a trainer was trying to put together a syndicate of small investors that valued this horse at $25,000. As far as I could see, nothing much happened except this horse got broke. I'm sure some of the people who buy their horses back are thinking of doing the same thing if they can just find those investors.)

Anyway, hope always springs eternal but I agree, if you want to sell then sell and cut the bleeding.

[halo]

I cant see where this study proves anything unless your point is that working slower produces more successful horses. So does it?

[halo]

Just for grins, since we are dealing with Barretts, I went to their website and downloaded their results for the yearling sale in October. I used the 2003 auctions, since I could find their race records thru 2006, which is thru their 4 year old season. I used the same format at Michael....I chose the top 20 sellers at this yearling sale>

STERLING CAT f. (Event of the year) $160,000 - $95,000 - 5-2

CLASSY LADY f. (In Excess) $105,000 - $10,240 - 4-1

DOMESTIC SECURITY c. (Distinctive Cat) - $77,000 - $48,000 18-4

MADE OF WISDOM c. (Bertrando) - $70,000 - 0 0-0

ASPIRING SUMMER c. (Siberian Summer) - $62,000 - $31,000 3-1

CITY TRAIL c. (Trail City) - $60,000 - $12,900 3-0

MASTER MAGICIAN c. (Theatrical) - $55,000 - 0 0-0

BROADWAY PLAYER c. (Smokester) - $52,000 - $42,900 10-0

INHOUSE MEMO c. (Memo) - $50,000 - 0 0-0

KELLYS PRINCESS f. (Western Fame) $45,000 - $149,000 14-4

OHIO CITY c. (Exploit) $45,000 - $68,000 6-1

RIDINGWITHTHEKING c. (Comic Strip) - $40,000 - $23,000 5-1

TIZ HANDSOME c. (Cee's Tizzy) - $40,000 - $4,200 7-1

HOUSE OF LIGHT f. (Free House) - $40,000 - $800 2-0

SEAPORT c. (Bartok) - $40,000 - $13,000 9-1

f. Smokester - $40,000 - 0 0 - 0

IRISH EXCESS f (In Excess) - $40,000 - $400 1-0

LETSDRINKLUNCH c. (Distinctive Cat) - $38,000 - 0 0-0

EVA BRAVA f. (Silver Charm) - $37,000 - 0 0-0

SNOWDROP f. (Beau Genius) - $37,000 - $83,000 10-2

I think Ill take my chance on a 2 year old. The cost of the additional year from a yearling to a 2 year old is already in the purchase price. Buying a yearling, you need to add another $20,000 or so to get them to the races.