I can make lemonade out of lemons.
For those following the thread I posted the following at 10:50 am which must
mean that the posting time of 5:50 must be Greenwich Mean time on this list.
"Just finished doing the GSV2 numbers for the first races at Churchill Downs. The GSV2 has been having whopping success this meet, so maybe today it will fail and fail badly but here they are and should be of use in exactas. I'm only giving the highest because I'm taking off to go bet them myself Good luck to everyone who uses them...Please don't fail me now as I get out on that branch.
Race 1: Pretty Alice
Race 2: Rimroc Gold
Race 3: Swept Em
Race 4: Cowboy Hardware
Race 5: T N T Special
Race 6: Flank Drive
Race 7: Sugar Booger
Haven't done the numbers yet but the highest should be Special Interest in the 8th; Student Council in the 9th; and Spanish Lights in the 10th
Good luck"
So if you have looked at the results on my web page you will see that I hit a nice exacta in race three to get me up $23.70 after that race. The GSV2 then failed and by the end of race 7 was down $78.30 overall. Certainly nothing to brag about. So what possibly could be my motive...to get victory by slight of hand judge plain old fudging of figures?
Well, the answer can be found above. I stated as you can see that the highest in race 8 should be "Special Interest". As you can see from my posting on my web site I wrote the following:
Race 8: Bridled Quest, GSV2 = 73.17; Note: Special Interest scratched so changed top GSV2 horse [77.17], +$591.80, Exacta +$234.90, -$11.00 = +$737.40 Winner's GSV2 = 73.17 ALL 7f dirt
Race 9: Student Council, GSV2 = 73.48, -$9 x 3 = -$27.00; trifecta = -$7, -$7, +$111.10 = $70.10 = +$807.50 Winner's GSV2 = 69.90 Optional Claiming, 8f, dirt
Race 10: Spanish Lights, GSV2 = 76.89, -$11 x 3 = -$33.00; trifecta -$18 x 3 = -$54.00 = -$87.00 Winner's GSV2 = 70.03 MSW, 9f turf , +$720.50
With Special Interest's scratch as he was on the also eligibles, Bridled Quest [Unbridled's Song out of a Lyphard mare] became the high GSV2 horse and that is where the steak and lasagna came from as he was a monster hit. As Bill stated elsewhere on this thread, numbers are numbers and do not change the event. The numbers were on my web page leading to the posting of Bridled Quest when Special Interest did not draw in.
But you are right, I did not go back as I did the last numbers and update my post to this list, as I was trying to get to the track to bet them. I still missed the first race, but it turned out to save me money.
I note that the GSV2 failed in races 9 and 10 and the profit level suffered as a result as both Student Council and Spanish Lights did get a chance to race and fail.
For those who have been visiting my site and getting my selections, they will have noted that had the GSV2 been ahead at the seventh race, then the bets would have included trifectas, which my picks would have hit at a huge price, but alas the program was not ahead and no trifecta bets.
Ill-Bred wrote, "Although he was 0-for-7, those picks somehow led to his stuffed wallet and steak dinner comments.
Look, if I posted a day's worth of picks on this site and had zero winners, and then I open a new thread asking you all if you ate as well as me that night, bragging about all the money I won, I would expect to be called out for it! "
As a researcher and interested in truth, I would have gone to the site that posted the results and claimed steak and lasagna and found out how the heck lemonade was made from 0-7 lemons. But you did not do that.
Right now I am doing numbers for Churchill tomorrow. Maybe I'll get them done in time to post them on this list many not. But if I wanted the numbers the best place to look would be my web sire and the race of the day page.
Good discussion never hurts. Thanks![/b]
