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General racing discussion.

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petersd
Maiden Special Weight
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Joined: Tue Sep 21, 2004 2:10 pm
Location: Versailles, KY

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Postby petersd » Fri Sep 14, 2007 1:17 pm

If anyone has the answers to the following questions, that would be great:
In general"
What percentage of live foals get to the track?
What percentage of live foals win races?
What percentage of live foals run in stakes races?
Reason I ask, of the six horses I've bred of racing age, four have run (the other two - out of the same mare were sold has HJ prospects); three have won, the other ran second. One is a SW, another ran 5th in a stakes and the third (the maiden) runs in the Barretts Debutante this weekend.
Just looking for some numbers confirmation.

Playwithfire
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Location: California

Postby Playwithfire » Fri Sep 14, 2007 1:37 pm

I've crunched numbers for 55 of the top sires between $10k and $75k and have some results. Certainly they are going to be skewed high, but you can get an idea.

68% foals race, 47% foals win, 5% win stakes, ~10% stakes placed at least, winning average of 14% of races run. That covered 35,000 foals.

So probably total population, low to mid 60% races, low 40% win, 3-4% stakes.

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sittinchilly
Suckling
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Joined: Thu Jun 28, 2007 6:45 am

Postby sittinchilly » Sat Sep 15, 2007 9:34 am

I have heard for years about how averages over time have not changed - about half of all TBs start, and only half of those win. Of those only half earned $ their keep. And, to begin with - that only two of three mares bred had a live foal.

Talk about a losing proposition just going in ... :shock: