Hi Folks,
This is a current topic on another forum begun by someone who has presented some (I believe incomplete) data to support the notion that foals after an open year (or two) are better performers.
I believe that any mare that is able and willing should be bred in every year possible, whether they have a foal or not. My empirical observation is that good breeding mares that are intentionally not bred often begin to have problems getting in foal. When a mare becomes incapable of having foals year after year they simply won't have a foal. I don't like
'fooling' with Mother Nature.
It's important to remember that, as a breed, only 60% of the mares bred in any given year will have live foals. This number increases in the best breeding areas like Kentucky or by the quality of the mare or stallion because owners are willing to accept the cost of therapies like regumate. Highly fertile stallions like
Distorted Humor are getting @80% live foals even from a large book and I'd shell out the cash to do as much as I could to protect my investment if I were breeding to him or using a valuable mare.
There’s a theory that mares will have their best foals in their first five and at least there's some scientific basis for this idea. We know that women that have children later in life are usually at higher risk for birth defect or problems. There are several reasons for this including less ability to handle the stress of pregnancy as well as the fact that females are born with a quotient of eggs and it's possible that they may
'degrade' over time.
Most foals will be born as either first foals or after 1 or 2 foals in a row. Age is a factor but there’s a decrease every year in the number of mares that are having consecutive foals. Mares like
Extra Alarm, (17 consecutive foals) are rare as hens’ teeth. I’d look to the family breeding history for some guidance in what to expect.
Lilies Cook’N had her first foal in late April 1996 and her 8th consecutive on January 5th, 2003 (moved up every year). She’s certainly an exception. I’ve listed the produce of the exceptional mare,
Battle Creek Girl, below:
1981 Full Retreat,(f.Full Out). 11-2-2-1,$18,905.
1982 Will To,(f.Ack Ack). 8-M-0-0,$0.
1983 Majestic Luck,(f.What Luck). 4-M-2-2,$5,060.
1984 Beribboned,(f.Well Decorated). 14-1-2-2,$10,860.
1985 Matriarch,(f.Wavering Monarch). 39-7-4-6,$107,185..3rd Ocean City S.
1986 TRICKY CREEK,(c.Clever Trick). 37-9-6-8,$873,288..G2 winner at 2,3,4.
1987 WAVERING GIRL,(f.Wavering Monarch). 22-6-3-3,$314,084..Natalma S -L.
1988 The Gifted One,(c.Time For A Change). 6-1-1-0,$12,815.
1989 SPEED DIALER,(f.Phone Trick). 18-5-5-3,$384,601..G2 winner at 2.
1990 Defense Spending,(f.Spend A Buck). 10-2-2-1,$ 50,797.
1991 Chrys,(c.Forty Niner). 94-10-14-15,$231,323.
1992 Swiss Asset,(c.Private Account). 80-14-15-16,$331,022..2nd Skipper Bill S -R.
1993 EVERHOPE,(f.Danzig). 24-6-6-2,$310,233..Edgewood S -L.
1994 Battle Hymn,(f.Danzig). 10-2-1-3,$56,582.
1995 PARADE GROUND,(c.Kingmambo). 21-7-6-4,$794,995..G2, 4xG3 winner.
1996 Barren
1997 PARADE LEADER,(c.Kingmambo). 30-7-4-5,$712,507..New Orleans H -G2.
1999 King's Consul,(c.Kingmambo). 1-1-0-0,$24,600.
2000 New Harmony,(f.A.P. Indy). Unraced
2001 Unnamed,(c.Belong To Me).
She had 20 foals in all (wow) and fifteen consecutive. Her first four (all consecutive) are weak, her first black-type is her 5th (imagine if you sold her then!?) her 6th (Tricky Creek), 7th, 9th, 13th and 15th consecutive foals are all stakes winners. Parade Ground (1997) is a SW foal after an open year. She lends a little support but mainly contradicts these theories.
I don't know of any study that's addressed either of these points, foals after open years or first five foals, and I've found many instances (not quite as eye-popping asBattle Creek Girl) to support or contradict these ideas.
Regards,
Pete