Grayson Foundation/Jockey Club Soundness Study

Discussion and analysis of thoroughbred stallions.

Moderators: Roguelet, WaveMaster, madelyn

User avatar
Patuxet
Grade III Winner
Posts: 1150
Joined: Fri Dec 01, 2006 10:36 pm
Location: New England & Florida

Grayson Foundation/Jockey Club Soundness Study

Postby Patuxet » Thu Jan 11, 2007 1:14 pm

In an attempt to assess soundness this study ranks the top stallions by both percentage of starters from foals and average starts per starter. Noticeably absent are the KY big bucks stallions. IMO the study is especially useful for those who breed to race and those considering a potential broodmare. Here's the link:

http://www.grayson-jockeyclub.org/resou ... no%205.pdf

Des
Allowance Winner
Posts: 464
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:04 am

Postby Des » Thu Jan 11, 2007 2:24 pm

Wonder why they hid the big guns from the list???? I guess our Buddy "You all know who" will be looking and digging into the list to add to his list for comments. If he finds what he 's looking for that tread will go on ...forever and ever and ever and ever...

Interesting post Thanks

User avatar
Patuxet
Grade III Winner
Posts: 1150
Joined: Fri Dec 01, 2006 10:36 pm
Location: New England & Florida

Postby Patuxet » Thu Jan 11, 2007 2:55 pm

The "big guns" simply didn't make the cut. These lists are comprised of only the top soundness stallions, the ones which had 75% or more starters from foals and whose starters made 20 or more starts. As some one asked, ""Where are the multi-thousand-dollar Kentucky stallions? Nowhere to be seen on the "Lifetime Starts Per Starter" list. The first stallion standing in Kentucky is Is It True who is 44th on the list."

I don't think we'll be seeing these statistics quoted anytime soon in any slick ads in The BloodHorse or The Thoroughbred Times.

User avatar
geowarrior
Leading Sire
Posts: 3593
Joined: Sat Jul 08, 2006 12:45 pm
Location: Spokane, WA

Postby geowarrior » Thu Jan 11, 2007 3:18 pm

There's a bias towards older horses in that study. Look at the dates of birth and calculate a mental average. I'm not sure why it is, but it may have to do with the fact that the last year for which the investigators felt comfortable calculating statistics is quite a few years ago.

Nevertheless, bearing in mind that some of the Kentucky blue bloods that didn't get into the top ranks might be a bit young to qualify, it still remains that some of the old ones like your Storm Cats, A.P. Indys and even Dynaformer are nowhere to be seen either list. I wouldn't mind seeing which horses are at the bottom of these lists.

User avatar
BenB
Sophomore Sire
Posts: 3213
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:13 pm
Location: The Netherlands

Postby BenB » Fri Jan 12, 2007 10:13 am

I tend to think, that the big boys needs to invest in the time to come.
As it can not be that the statics will not be read by the public, only a fool beliefs in the stories made by the big boys. And look to the ads they are setting up

User avatar
Toccet02
Leading Sire
Posts: 3649
Joined: Thu Jul 13, 2006 11:00 am
Location: New York City

Postby Toccet02 » Fri Jan 12, 2007 10:14 am

remember that only stallions foaled within the last 20 years made the list so Storm Cat is out, being 1983.

That said, I'm amazed. I had noticed Strike the Gold's progeny had many starters, but I never even HEARD of Shining Steel.
All shouting does is make you lose your voice.
----Arrested Development

User avatar
Toccet02
Leading Sire
Posts: 3649
Joined: Thu Jul 13, 2006 11:00 am
Location: New York City

Postby Toccet02 » Fri Jan 12, 2007 10:15 am

pardon me, I meant many STARTS.
All shouting does is make you lose your voice.

----Arrested Development

Elles
Starters Handicap
Posts: 668
Joined: Mon Jan 01, 2007 11:43 am
Location: The Netherlands

Postby Elles » Fri Jan 12, 2007 11:16 am

Toccet02 wrote:That said, I'm amazed. I had noticed Strike the Gold's progeny had many starters, but I never even HEARD of Shining Steel.


Shining Steel (GB), 98, =Kris (GB)—=Lady Moon (GB), by Mill Reef. Karacabey Pension Stud, Izmit, Turkey.

User avatar
BenB
Sophomore Sire
Posts: 3213
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:13 pm
Location: The Netherlands

Postby BenB » Fri Jan 12, 2007 11:55 am

The offspring from the big bucks, needs to win big bucks races for the big bucks trainers and so on. You don not see a storm cat running in an 20 K claimer race as a young horse. You can only think, what the owner will do.
What I always stated, sprinting ruines a young horse look at the dosage from shining steel, he runs all day and much more.
And he is bred to race at the turf.

reenci
Grade II Winner
Posts: 1302
Joined: Wed Dec 08, 2004 8:53 pm
Location: ny

Postby reenci » Fri Jan 12, 2007 2:25 pm

Devil his due....what an exceptional animal ! and how about RIZZI making both lists !
A great man cannot help himself," "He can see things that other men cannot see themselves, and his greatness lies in doing whatever is necessary to make his vision real

pokeyman
Restricted Stakes Winner
Posts: 750
Joined: Tue Nov 21, 2006 3:59 pm
Location: Northeast

Postby pokeyman » Fri Jan 12, 2007 4:06 pm

I was looking at the study. One thing that I wonder is if the stallions listed in table 1 by average strats per starter sire mostly cheap claimers. I say that because I wonder if there is a correlation between class and soundness. Cheap claimers tend to run forever. A lot of their pedigrees are not that commercial for breeding as well (on the whole- I know there are lots of exceptions).


For those stallions listed in Table 1, I wonder how many have made the Leading Sire List by either Earnings, AEI, or Perecenatge of Stakes winners?

On the list, I know Dixie Brass and Citidancer were great Regional sires so I would put them on that list. Others?

Also, Interesting that only a handful or stallions made both lists. None of whom I would consider superstar sires. Unfortunately.....

On another note, I was surprised Skip Trial was left off the list. His numbers, if I remember correctly, were pretty competitive with those listed in the tables.

Why does it seem like the most brillant horses are the most unsound? Are our best sires and dams those that are unsound? Correlation between soundness and brillance?
Is it class or is it that they are simply retired to the breeding shed because they have popular bloodlines?

Just wondering....

KAL
Starters Handicap
Posts: 642
Joined: Thu Sep 16, 2004 8:32 pm

Postby KAL » Fri Jan 12, 2007 7:00 pm

Slow horses don't run fast enough to breakdown.

User avatar
BenB
Sophomore Sire
Posts: 3213
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:13 pm
Location: The Netherlands

Postby BenB » Sat Jan 13, 2007 12:16 am

I think retaining very early, in fact before they the reach the track, seems to be much more profitable, than bad race performances which harming their reputation.
ADS Met training injury.

User avatar
madelyn
Moderator
Posts: 10067
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 1:53 pm
Location: Louisville, KY

Postby madelyn » Sat Jan 13, 2007 9:25 am

Well that is very interesting data.

For those who subscribe to conspiracy theories, what might happen to stud books if we all ONLY bred sound horses?
Last edited by madelyn on Sat Jan 13, 2007 10:07 am, edited 1 time in total.
So Run for the Roses, as fast as you can.....

User avatar
BenB
Sophomore Sire
Posts: 3213
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 12:13 pm
Location: The Netherlands

Postby BenB » Sat Jan 13, 2007 9:49 am

Madelyn, than there would just only one winner each race, but at least
you are able to enjoy the horse seeiing to race more than just once.
To me it has become more and more a buisiness game for a lot of people
only the big hits are important and not the losses from the vast majority.
Personelly I like to own a racer, not a trainers horse.