Can you explain how to read this:::

Understanding pedigrees, inbreeding, dosage, etc.

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RavenSuesMom1
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Can you explain how to read this:::

Postby RavenSuesMom1 » Thu Feb 02, 2006 10:12 am

From Bagdad's pedigree ...
DP = 26-4-6-0-0 (36) DI = 11.00 CD = 1.56
???

And in his info ... it says placed 2nd in Belmont S. Is that the Belmont Stakes?
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Pan Zareta
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Re: Can you explain how to read this:::

Postby Pan Zareta » Thu Feb 02, 2006 1:21 pm

RavenSuesMom1 wrote:From Bagdad's pedigree ...
DP = 26-4-6-0-0 (36) DI = 11.00 CD = 1.56
???


That's the Dosage Profile, Index & Center of Distribution, info for predicting aptitude based upon the significant sires, 'Chefs de Race', in a pedigree.
See http://www.chef-de-race.com.

And in his info ... it says placed 2nd in Belmont S. Is that the Belmont Stakes?


Yes. Bagdad ran 2nd to Sword Dancer in the '59 Belmont - which illustrates the flaw of taking into consideration only the significant males in a pedigree. By dosage, 12f should have been beyond the range at which Bagdad was most competitive. His conduit mare profile (the figures just underneath his pedigree in the db here) is more predictive of Bagdad's accomplishments, but even that suggests optimal distance <12f.

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Postby RavenSuesMom1 » Fri Feb 03, 2006 11:28 pm

Thanks Pan -- went to the site and read all about it. It's kewl.

And it would seem with Bagdad that not considering the mares did make a difference.

Where is the conduit mare profile? I don;t see anything below his pedigree??
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Postby chester » Sun Feb 05, 2006 4:13 pm

Bagdad's dam was by the Epsom Derby winner and important stamina influence Blue Peter, a "notable omission" non-chef.

Factoring in Blue Peter as perhaps a Solid chef (just my hunch, based on a number of BP's good sire sons in Australia and New Zealand) would alter Bagdad's DP significantly and go some way to explain his ability to stay 12 f.

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Postby Bill from WA » Thu Feb 09, 2006 6:18 pm

Since the conduit mare profiles are based on the designations springing from mares foaled no earlier that 1900, you will get a false reading on the older horses. If there is no conduit mare, the designation reverts to "C". Not a good tool for any horse foaled before 1965 or so.

Bill
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Postby siegy » Thu Jun 15, 2006 7:59 am

Bill from WA wrote:Since the conduit mare profiles are based on the designations springing from mares foaled no earlier that 1900, you will get a false reading on the older horses. If there is no conduit mare, the designation reverts to "C". Not a good tool for any horse foaled before 1965 or so.

Bill


Sorry Bill,

Must ref: to heritage......... please check!!!!!!!!!

Your's Siegy, :idea:
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Postby Bill from WA » Thu Jun 15, 2006 8:19 am

Siegy

I don't understand what you are asking me to check, since the conduit mare profiles are a product of my own creation, and application of the profiles don't have anything to do with your interpretions, I can't figure out what you are questioning. I respect your research, but our two views are just apples and oranges as far as I can figure out (you have never lucidly expained how you arrive at your determinations, at least as far as I have been able to grasp. I may just be too stupid.)

Respectfully,

Bill
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Postby siegy » Thu Jun 15, 2006 10:35 am

Bill from WA wrote:Siegy

I don't understand what you are asking me to check, since the conduit mare profiles are a product of my own creation, and application of the profiles don't have anything to do with your interpretions, I can't figure out what you are questioning. I respect your research, but our two views are just apples and oranges as far as I can figure out (you have never lucidly expained how you arrive at your determinations, at least as far as I have been able to grasp. I may just be too stupid.)

Respectfully,

Bill

Hi Bill,

wow, never Q' your conduit mares, as I, said to you before, so be it.
I'am only intersted to get down to the true state of female imortant's of
older (300 year-old) mare's.
paper's are on line at heritage that mention these.

Respectfully,
Siegy, :lol:
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Postby Bill from WA » Thu Jun 15, 2006 11:07 am

My apologies.

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Postby siegy » Thu Jun 15, 2006 1:27 pm

Bill from WA wrote:My apologies.

Bill


Hi Bill,

Excepted!!! :lol: :lol: :lol:

Your's Siegy
Flora is beginning of biology, chemistry is master.