Who Is Gonna Win The Derby?

Stevie Belmont · Postby **Stevie Belmont** » Thu Apr 26, 2007 6:57 pm

Vote here....
http://www.thoroughbredzone.com

So far Scat Daddy has the lead..

Ill-bred · Postby **Ill-bred** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 12:11 pm

Right now I like three horses...

Street Sense
Scat Daddy
Dominican

Toccet02 · Postby **Toccet02** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 12:19 pm

Nobiz 1st
Scat Daddy2nd
Curlin 3rd
Street Sense will have a troubled trip or other excuse.....judging by Derby Hype horse luck....

griff · Postby **griff** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 12:31 pm

Nobiz Like Showbiz

griff

geowarrior · Postby **geowarrior** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:07 pm

Street Sense
Great Hunter
Hard Spun

Longshot: Tiago

dray33 · Postby **dray33** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:14 pm

Curlin by 4 lengths.

geowarrior · Postby **geowarrior** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:16 pm

Are you sure you're being precise enough, dray? Perhaps it should be Curlin by 4.31257 lengths.

Sam · Postby **Sam** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:19 pm

Street Sense. *noddin'*

dray33 · Postby **dray33** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:30 pm

geowarrior wrote:Are you sure you're being precise enough, dray? Perhaps it should be Curlin by 4.31257 lengths.

You left off a 6, I extrapolate to the 6th degree usually :wink:

Rokeby Forever · Postby **Rokeby Forever** » Fri Apr 27, 2007 7:09 pm

Whoever finishes first?

Patuxet · Postby **Patuxet** » Sat Apr 28, 2007 7:08 pm

Here's some history to chew on. Of the 32 KY Derby entrants which finished in the money in the BC Juvenile, only two actually won it (Spend A Buck '84 & Alysheba '86) and both of them ran 3rd in the BC. Two others placed and five ran third.

Rokeby Forever · Postby **Rokeby Forever** » Sat Apr 28, 2007 7:54 pm

Sea Hero is the last horse to run in the BC Juvie and win the KY Derby. That's 13 years of BC Juvie entrants to fail in this race.

wallinga · Postby **wallinga** » Sat Apr 28, 2007 9:26 pm

Nobiz'
Hard Spun
Street Sense

Rokeby Forever · Postby **Rokeby Forever** » Sat Apr 28, 2007 10:10 pm

Teufflesburg might win the PA Derby.

madelyn · Postby **madelyn** » Sun Apr 29, 2007 8:06 am

Yes, well I tried leaving the broodmare manual in the feed tub in hopes that my mares might educate themselves. Since the horses can't read about the BC Juvie "curse", nor the form, it may just be a confluence of stars. And sometimes, it is pure coincidence.

A lot of the Juvie winners were precocious types, hammered into steel early on for a big 2 year old year. Then their peers caught up to them and they faded into the breeding shed or obscurity.

Occasionally, actually more like very seldom, there has been a great two year old that was still only DEVELOPING and went on to continue to DEVELOP at three. Which is what I believe Street Sense is. It is a bit like a lightning strike.. which brings to mind Pedigreeann's great line:

"The wait for lightning to strike is shorter if you put up an antenna."

I just hope it doesn't rain.