2007 filly by Nation's leading 2 yr old sire! SOLD

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witherbee
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2007 filly by Nation's leading 2 yr old sire! SOLD

Postby witherbee » Tue Nov 27, 2007 11:17 am

See my photo ad for Untouchable Miss - born 3/01/07, a big, leggy, correct bay filly out of our lovely mare, Miss Ardent. She is a classy filly with a great attitude - should make a nice race mare. Sire is Untuttable (Unbridled), leading sire of 2 year olds - 71% winners/starters! Dam has a colt running now who has made over $70K so far. Dam has 3 foals, 3 to race, 2 winners - there are 2 nice blue hen mares close up in her pedigree as well. Asking $10,000. Call Wendy at 352-368-1863 or email at [email protected]

Image

see all of her photos at http://s74.photobucket.com/albums/i245/ ... le%20Miss/
Last edited by witherbee on Mon Mar 03, 2008 6:27 am, edited 1 time in total.

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witherbee
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New pictures!

Postby witherbee » Sat Dec 08, 2007 7:50 pm

Updates sire stats and new pictures of this classy filly,,,

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springboro
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Postby springboro » Sat Dec 08, 2007 9:17 pm

Untuttable as the nation's leading sire of two year olds? Cite your source for that statement, please, with a link?

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witherbee
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Source

Postby witherbee » Sun Dec 09, 2007 12:56 pm

My source was the Nocember 30th Wire to Wire. Here is the ad.... I scanned it in for you.

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madelyn
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Postby madelyn » Sun Dec 09, 2007 1:35 pm

It is a wonder how statistics can be manipulated.

Here is the Juvenile Sire List, through 100, without Untuttable:
http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/breedi ... -list.aspx

Here also is the Freshman Juvenile Sire List, through 100, once again without Untuttable.

http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/breedi ... -list.aspx

Perhaps the claim is derived from the percentage of SW to starters? Either way, it seems the publication might have objected before they published the ad.
Last edited by madelyn on Sun Dec 09, 2007 2:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
So Run for the Roses, as fast as you can.....

Crystal
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Postby Crystal » Sun Dec 09, 2007 2:00 pm

darn nice looking baby though!

nythoroughbredvz
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Postby nythoroughbredvz » Sun Dec 09, 2007 3:09 pm

myself I find more realizm in "Winners / Starters" rather than "Leading Money Earner" statistics. A stallion on the very top of leading money earners could have one good offspring! strictly is in order of money earned. 71% winners/starters isnt bad! and im sure theres no racing/sales buffing going on with a small farm stallion like him. wich is not the case with some stallions. where they breed their own mares and make sure they get to the top of their states list by sending swarms of them to the track, buy their own offspring for hundreds of thousands to bump up their stud fee's. nice looking filly!

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Intrinsic Worth
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Postby Intrinsic Worth » Sun Dec 09, 2007 4:28 pm

The question should be, "How many starters did he have?"
All men are equal on the turf - or under it.

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Taino
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Postby Taino » Sun Dec 09, 2007 4:40 pm

Update on Untuttable. Per the Dec. 8th issue of T-times, he now has 78% winners from juvenile starters. 14 starters with 11 winners. I keep track of him cause I own the 1/2 sister to one of his stake winners, Into Reality.

nythoroughbredvz
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Postby nythoroughbredvz » Sun Dec 09, 2007 9:18 pm

It is a wonder how statistics can be manipulated.

Here is the Juvenile Sire List, through 100, without Untuttable:
http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/breedi ... -list.aspx

Here also is the Freshman Juvenile Sire List, through 100, once again without Untuttable.

http://www.thoroughbredtimes.com/breedi ... -list.aspx

Perhaps the claim is derived from the percentage of SW to starters? Either way, it seems the publication might have objected before they published the ad.


Yes it is a wonder! the sires list are the ones manipulated though!

no matter how you look at it its a multiple........ 14 starters to 11 winners is a good percentage. the 2008 stallion register lists Indian Charlie as #2 on the juvenile sires list with 16 starters and 7 winners. @ $50,000.00 stud fee!.. in all honnesty its not even about starters to winners, things that arent factored in are how many live foals were reported, how many were registered, then where it should really begin is how many officially started training as 2yo's this deducts any that may have not gotten into racing for any reason, sport horses etc..you can read the "GENERAL SIRE LIST" the "JUVENILE SIRE LIST" etc.. all day long there are two totally different sets of data collected to get their man! juvenile list shows number of 2yo's then starters/winners. but general sires list doesnt have a total number of registered horses raced in that year you just get starters/winners. at least you can find the percentage of offspring that are not winning on the 2yo list.
Here is some data taken from the 2008 thoroughbred times stallion directory. its not up to date but still gives facts for time of publication:

Smart Strike ranks #1 on general sire list and #21 on juvenile sire list
$150,000 stud fee
Cherokee Run ranks#14 on general sire list and #01 on juvenile sire list
$40,000 stud fee

Smart Strike
raced @ ages 3-4/8 starts,earning$337,376avg.=$42,172per start.
has 8 crops of racing age with aprox. 48million in prog. earnings
SI 5.08 CSI 3.57 DI 4.6 CD1.12 BSI 1.71
103 2yo's to race 44/11 starters/winners
general list 195/91 starters/winners
leading earner under general sire list:Curlin $5,102,800
Progeny earnings general sires list $13,827,845
keeping Curlin in the equasion this is a avarage earning of $70,912 per starter from the general sires list dividing that by his stud fee of $150,000
you get 0.47cents per dollar/stud fee

Taking Curlin out of the equation being fair to his same father sibblings you get a average earning of $44,974 or 0.30cents per dollar/stud fee

leading earner under juvenile list: Smarty Deb $171,055
Progeny earnings juvenile sire list $711,508
keeping Smarty Deb in the equasion this is a avarage earning of $16,170 (per starter) from the juvenile sires list dividing that by his stud fee of $150,000you get 0.11cents per dollar/stud fee

Taking Smarty Deb out of the equation being fair to his same father sibblings (per starter) you get a average earning of $12,568 or 0.08cents per dollar/stud fee


Cherokee Run
raced @ ages 2-5/28 starts,earning$1,531,818avg.=$54,707per start.
has 9 crops of racing age with aprox. 32million in prog. earnings
SI 1.43 CSI 1.23 DI 3.0 CD .94 BSI .96
87 2yo's to race 37/13 starters/winners
general list 170/86 starters/winners
leading earner under general sire list:War Pass $1,397,400
Progeny earnings general sires list $6,050,919
keeping War Pass in the equasion this is a avarage earning of $35,593 per starter from the general sires list dividing that by his stud fee of $40,000 you get 0.89cents per dollar/stud fee
Taking War Pass out of the equation being fair to his same father sibblings you get a average earning of $27,535 or 0.69cents per dollar/stud fee

leading earner under juvenile list: War Pass $1,397,400
Progeny earnings juvenile sire list $2,003,090
keeping War Pass in the equasion this is a avarage earning of $54,137 (per starter) from the juvenile sires list dividing that by his stud fee of $40,000you get 01.35cents per dollar/stud fee

Taking War Pass out of the equation being fair to his same father sibblings (per starter) you get a average earning of $16,824 or 0..42cents per dollar/stud fee


CR raced 2 more years with 20 more starts, and a higher average earning per start. so as a race horse he was superior.

Cherokee Run has a higher percentage of starters/winners for 2yo's and in general sire list
Cherokee Run from the General Sire List. based on stud fee has about a 90% higher return than Smart Strike factoring in Curlin! taking Curlin out of the equation he has about a 130% higher return.
Cherokee Run from the Juvenile Sire list has aprox 1225% higher return than Smart Strike with War Pass factored in.
and a 525% higher return than Smart Strike taking War Pass out of the equation.

Smart Strikes sales avarages (based on 08 stallion register)are higher but not enough to justify the stud fee, actually his avarage doesnt meet his stud fee!

Stallions are rated by their 1 hit wonders not winners, not numbers of offspring born,#'s registered, racing,yearly stud fees if changes,races lost or not in the money! they provide us with a poor means of providing data so stallions can be looked at as the new pair of Nike's
I wanted to figure Trippi into this I think he would blow both of them out of the water @ $12,500 stud fee.
How can a stallion that is #14 prove to be more of a legitimate choice than the #1?
there is a lot more here than what I have looked at but what we are provided with by the "list's" is diluted.
unless you have total racing numbers from a stallion in my oppinion to breed to race winners/starters is the most logical way!
Breeding to sell is different but this should still be a deciding factor a lot can & does happen from the time of a cover date till the sale, training, and eventually racing. how many have breed to a stallion and seen him hit the highway before yours was old enough to sell?

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witherbee
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Postby witherbee » Mon Dec 10, 2007 6:12 am

Interesting stats and I have looked through the various sire lists to see what factors they use to determine who the top sires are in each category. Good debate here about the merits of some of the higher fee stallions. Anyway, as a sales tool for my nice filly, I am happy to defer to the ad in Wire to Wire lol! She IS a lovely filly, and her dam has thrown a couple of runners, so I'm hoping that a good racing stable will pick her up and give her a chance.... Thanks for the input!